Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.023256 0.025649 0.028031 0.030575 0.033210 0.035853 0.038700
2025-02-09 0.018055 0.021763 0.025578 0.029770 0.034221 0.038784 0.043795
2025-02-16 0.015159 0.019724 0.024552 0.029972 0.035831 0.041925 0.048702
2025-02-23 0.012766 0.017907 0.023486 0.029869 0.036873 0.044244 0.052520
2025-03-02 0.010716 0.016251 0.022414 0.029592 0.037573 0.046059 0.055662
2025-03-09 0.009099 0.014935 0.021597 0.029485 0.038357 0.047873 0.058714
2025-03-16 0.007395 0.013359 0.020368 0.028815 0.038435 0.048841 0.060776
2025-03-23 0.006323 0.012461 0.019859 0.028904 0.039303 0.050629 0.063683
2025-03-30 0.005149 0.011320 0.018986 0.028511 0.039579 0.051717 0.065780
2025-04-06 0.003992 0.010078 0.017913 0.027826 0.039472 0.052338 0.067325
2025-04-13 0.002759 0.008558 0.016401 0.026552 0.038636 0.052099 0.067875
2025-04-20 0.002349 0.008218 0.016369 0.027037 0.039817 0.054113 0.070912
2025-04-27 0.001685 0.007443 0.015828 0.027011 0.040543 0.055775 0.073751
2025-05-04 0.000920 0.006294 0.014737 0.026296 0.040476 0.056568 0.075663
2025-05-11 0.000540 0.005727 0.014400 0.026495 0.041470 0.058556 0.078904
2025-05-18 0.000217 0.005060 0.013859 0.026398 0.042082 0.060081 0.081598
2025-05-25 0.000021 0.004370 0.013219 0.026135 0.042464 0.061317 0.083942
2025-06-01 NaN 0.003814 0.012727 0.026033 0.043019 0.062732 0.086471
2025-06-08 NaN 0.003081 0.011867 0.025397 0.042890 0.063328 0.088044
2025-06-15 NaN 0.002704 0.011556 0.025481 0.043632 0.064928 0.090750
2025-06-22 NaN 0.002190 0.010936 0.025109 0.043785 0.065820 0.092628
2025-06-29 NaN 0.001639 0.010144 0.024459 0.043566 0.066253 0.093962
2025-07-06 NaN 0.001004 0.009003 0.023252 0.042607 0.065783 0.094232